Phew -- I just can't keep up with all of the stuff coming out that I want to post! Maybe I should just quit school and blog full-time. (Confidential to MWM: Just kidding, dear.)
Obama brings out the big guns: BILL CLINTON! Admittedly, he's not my favorite Dem, but people love him. I've seen it myself. After you hear him give a speech, you're so won over, you'll do nearly anything. (No comments, please -- get your mind out of the gutter!) The point is, he's incredibly charismatic, he knows how to win votes, and he is especially good at getting working-class white votes. Go to work, Bill! (Note: I've met Bill Clinton!)
Oopsie! Norm Coleman screwed up, and it could cost him a million dollars. Not good news in the last weeks leading up to his defeat. However, good news for Al. (Note: I've met Al Franken too!)
Roger Ebert turns his critical eye to Sarah Palin, calling her the "American Idol" candidate.
What defines an "American Idol" finalist? They're good-looking, work well on television, have a sunny personality, are fierce competitors, and so talented, why, they're darned near the real thing. There's a reason "American Idol" gets such high ratings. People identify with the contestants. They think, Hey, that could be me up there on that show!
My problem is, I don't want to be up there. I don't want a vice president who is darned near good enough. I want a vice president who is better, wiser, well-traveled, has met world leaders, who three months ago had an opinion on Iraq. Someone who doesn't repeat bald- faced lies about earmarks and the Bridge to Nowhere.
George Lakoff has some suggestions for the Obama-Biden campaign:
In 1980, Richard Wirthlin -- Ronald Reagan's chief strategist -- made a fateful discovery. In his first poll he discovered that most people didn't like Reagan's positions on the issues, but nevertheless wanted to vote for Reagan. The reason, he figured out, is that voters vote for president not primarily on the issues, but on five other factors -- "character" factors: Values; Authenticity; Communication and connection; Trust; and Identity. In the Reagan-Carter and Reagan-Mondale debates, Mondale and Carter were ahead on the issues and lost the debates, because the debates were not about the issues, but about those other five character factors. George W. Bush used the same observation in his two races. Gore and Kerry ran on the issues. Bush ran on those five factors.
In the 2008 nomination campaign, Hillary ran on the issues, while Obama ran on those five factors and won. McCain is now running a Reagan-Bush style character-based campaign on the Big Five factors. But Obama has switched to a campaign based "on the issues," like Hillary, Gore, and Kerry. Obama has reality on his side. And the campaign is assuming that if you just tell people the truth, they will reason to the right conclusion. That's false and they should know better.
Obama needs to be Obama again, the inspiring figure who gives us hope, not the dull policy wonk. He underestimated McCain's debating abilities, and needs to prep both externally by giving the press new questions to ask, and internally, by being precise and making his values clear. And he has to remember that voters vote on the basis of values, authenticity, communication, trust, and identity. If he is going to bring realities into the campaign, he has to do it via a strategy that includes all of those.